Espn is silly and loves projections. We are silly and love them (whether we admit it or not). However very few people actually think that projections are going to be accurate. So before I show the current rankings for the 2015 season let’s look back at the 2014 projections compared to the actual (based on points for standing not record.)
2014 Projection
Paul (1,823 pts)
Melton (1,794.6 pts)
Stock (1,762.1 pts)
Ventura (1,752.4 pts)
Ian Amunrud (1,750.3 pts)
Alex (1,743.7 pts)
Garrett (1,706.1 pts)
Chasen (1,701 pts)
Ian Charbonnet (1,666.2 pts)
Jon Cook (1,640.1 pts)
2014 Actual
Alex (1497.7)
Garrett (1466.1)
Charbonnet (1441.4)
Amunrud (1404.2)
Chasen (1388.9)
Stock (1341.7)
Jon (1330.7)
Ventura (1175.9)
Paul (1124.8)
Melton (1106.9)
Note that the projection is far more for everyone. Also note that those that finished bottom two were projected top two. AND that the top 3 actual were in the bottom half projected. SOOOO with a grain a salt, here is the 2015 projected season standings (points for wise)
- Jon Cook 1,730.2
- Ian Amunrud 1,726.3
- Michael Stock 1,692.4
- Ian Charbonnet 1,680.3
- Chasen Rogers 1,680.1
- Alex Johnson 1644.1
- Andrew Ventura 1551.7
- Garrett Hart 1547.8
- Paul Miyake 1462.9
- Andrew Melton 1447.6
As you’ll notice this is far more accurate to last years standings than the previous projections so let’s take a look at the biggest drops and biggest jumps from last season actual to this season projected. Just looking at the rank difference, not point difference since that’ll be pretty pointless.
- Jon Cook +6
- Michael Stock +3
- Ian Amunrud +2
- Andrew Ventura +1
- Chasen Rogers, Paul Miyake, Andrew Melton 0
- Ian Charbonnet -1
- Alex Johnson -5
- Garrett Hart -6
I don’t have much else to say other than I’m stoked for the season to start again and that I’m okay with the projections this time around! Best of luck to everyone! 